They called it assumption, I call this prediction

-

I read this paper titled The global network organization of the future: Information management opportunities and challenges  authored by Jarvenpaa, Sirkka L; Ives, Blake  and written way back in 1994, when we were just about in primary school.


And I must say I was awestruck by the accuracy of their prediction (they call it assumption) when we compare now. I was saying, this paper was as if written now and dated back. This is all the reason why we need to read write-ups on trends and future prediction: Check it for yourself. This paper talks  about challenges and opportunities that were expected to bring about by information technology. To do that they set future scenario based on assumption which each and every assumption holds true now.  I have copied all the predictions mentioned in paper as it is, so that I don’t dilute the meaning. However, if interested, you can dig further down in article for yourself with the link provided above. Some people are gifted to see this far in future. Wish we have some in our country.
Content from here, directly copied from journal article mentioned above. Any reference to this should be cited directly from original article and credit given where due.


TABLE 1 ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT TECHNOLOGY INFORMATION AVAILABILITY (ANYTHING)
* Terabyte memories
* Recording and long-term storage of most digital-based transactions
* Massive heterogeneous and distributed databases
* Worldwide public and private content addressable electronic libraries [96]
* "Knowbots" capable of traveling over networks and then searching computer nodes for desired information [5]

CONNECTIVITY (ANYTIME, ANYWHERE)
* Worldwide wireless networks capable of sending data, voice, and even full motion video in near real time [5, 12]
* One phone number reaches a person regardless where a person is [32, 69]
* Open systems and standardization [5]
* Worldwide geographical positioning systems [65, 29]

PDF GENERATED BY SEARCH.PROQUEST.COM Page 2 of 25 PERSON--MACHINE INTERFACES (IN ANY FORM)
* Personal assistants (organizer, savant, concierge [16]
* Speech generation and understanding [68]
* Videophone [67] * Pen-based computing
* Graphical user interfaces * Virtual reality [15]
* Electronic rooms (video walls) [7]
* Set of standard productivity tools (electronic mail, calendar systems, intelligent business forms)
* Automatic national language translation systems [69]


ECONOMICS OF COMPUTING--AT LITTLE COST
* Two orders of magnitude improvement in cost-performance ratios of computer memories, microprocessors, etc., over the next decade [5]


TABLE 2 ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT ORGANIZATIONS STRUCTURE AND CONTROL
* Organic and ad hoc organizational designs [62]
* Hierarchies giving way to market and clan structures [54, 60]
* Organizations reducing in size [37, 80]
* Staff functions absorbed into line functions [2]
* Manager role replaced by coordinator and coach roles [71, 80]
* Distributed and decentralized decision making [55]
* Outsourcing [80]
* Strategic alliances [55]


RESOURCE DEPLOYMENT
* Human intellect most valuable asset [2, 22, 80]
* Cosmopolitan management team [2, 82]
* 24-hour window for work day [30, 34]
* Virtual work teams and managers [30, 90]
* Self-managed work teams [33]
* Personalization of human resource management [93] organizational strategy
* Mass customization [22, 24, 25, 76] * Core competencies and capabilities [79, 91]


TABLE 3 ASSUMPTIONS ABOUT ENVIRONMENT AND COMPETITION ENVIRONMENT
* Increasing environmental uncertainty/turbulence [49, 75]
* Information economy: knowledge as the new source of wealth [97]
* Work growing independent of workplace [35]
* Decreasing economic role of the national government [97]
* More diverse work force [35]
* Nations will seek competitive advantage by investments in education and knowledge infrastructure [35]

COMPETITION
* Continued shortening of product life cycles [75]
* Economic power from services and service industries [80, 82, 97]
* Globalization to reap economies of scale and scope [14, 86]
* Reemergence of entrepreneurship/startups [94]

And this is what they say- "Our scenario is set ten to fifteen years in the future. " and here we are!!

Comments

Post a Comment

Popular posts from this blog

Buying a Car as a Newcomer to Australia

-
Image
  When you arrive in Australia, having a car can be crucial for commuting to work, managing daily tasks, and meeting employer requirements. Many employers will inquire about your transportation and driver’s license status. New Car vs. Used Car: New Car: If your budget allows, purchasing a brand-new car from a dealer is often ideal. Dealers offer various financing and payment plans, particularly for those on certain visas. Used Car: For newcomers on a student visa or those looking to save money, a second-hand car might be more practical. The used car market can be overwhelming due to the variety of choices and price variations. While some dealers offer used cars with financing options, prices can vary significantly between dealers and private sellers. Be aware that dealers might not always fix minor issues or disclose accident history, so there’s no guarantee of a perfect car. Tips for Buying a Used Car: 1. Inspection and Testing:    - If Spending Over $15,000: For a ...
Read more

6 Reasons Why Choose To Work on Online Business

-
Image
www.tashidem.com 1. Easy Way to Get Started Your Online Business Most businesses require a lot of time to set up and a lot of start-up capital, even brick and mortar, you either start with franchise based which can be expensive or start from scratch taking a long time which is like money. But if you’re starting an online business, you have choices to start with big investment or as little investment as possible like affiliate marketing business. It’s easy to get yourself up and running, you don’t have to wait days or even weeks. You could do it right now . I don’t recommend it, but you could start an online affiliate marketing business without spending a dime. All you have to do is install a free blog, choose an affiliate link and start promoting your offer! But the reason why I don’t recommend this is, it can take you ages to earn any notable income. Believe me, I have been there. Instead,  I suggest you start with a high ticket product affiliate marketing whi...
Read more

Why Vision board works

-
Image
Some people call a vision board a dream board, while some say there are different, in a sense, long term goals (dream board) and short term goals (vision board). But basically they are the same. It’s like, when we work in the corporate world, we have long term plans and short term plans. And then respective activities to achieve that. It’s just like that but for the individual level. Basically what you do is, pick areas of your life that you want to improve. Like below: Health - get healthier, reduce or increase weight, buy a home gym. Wealth -home or car or money Spiritual - improve mindfulness or meditation Relationship -improve your relationship with people who matters to you or community Love -love self, family or looking for better half or marry for singles Career - publish a book or own a business or climb that 9-5 ladder Hobbies - read, volunteer, gardening Travel/fulfillment goal - who doesn't like traveling? I don’t think there will be any VB without travel. ...
Read more